0x3284e7e4F69b144a968b38Defa44C037BDcDe0bd-1762641640758
0x2725b39406b29c0f7b406faa33e7db492da5557f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $128.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $192.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.002 | $192.69 | −$1.7k |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.95 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.97 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 08:11 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.133 | $9.98 |
| 06-09 07:56 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.95 |
| 06-01 09:55 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0198001015 | $477.69 |
| 06-01 08:50 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $113.04 |
| 05-31 17:53 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.014 | $138.77 |