PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4d42dA95163C21fF38Bf534110219364e9A488fB-1759234286987

0x27234d41eea8e8be1ce32facfc9adf389f318d2d

Realised P&L
$-11.3k
Volume
$703.2k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$63.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0190.004$53.84$244.69
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0280.001$3.69$201.32
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0140.001$3.47$96.52
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0300.001$2.31$134.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.3860.000$0.00$297.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.0780.000$0.00$399.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$34.00
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1370.000$0.00$699.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$300.00
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00$462.28
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$236.16
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 · Over0.0700.000$0.00$200.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 23? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$79.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:44Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.015$14.07
08-01 20:43Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.015$20.00
08-01 20:42Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.015$20.00
08-01 20:42Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.015$20.00
08-01 20:41Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0149999985$10.00
08-01 20:41Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0149999985$10.00
08-01 20:41Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0142080706$10.00
08-01 11:55Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.024757664$94.52
08-01 11:44Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0217843349$100.00
08-01 06:51Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0143948565$100.00
07-30 05:44Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0278130511$205.01
07-28 08:06Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0296130961$136.58
07-27 02:02Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?BUY0.009$20.93
07-26 11:19Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?BUY0.0212553444$73.49
07-24 20:05Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?BUY0.0312320421$221.35