0x4d42dA95163C21fF38Bf534110219364e9A488fB-1759234286987
0x27234d41eea8e8be1ce32facfc9adf389f318d2d
- Realised P&L
- $-83.5k
- Volume
- $3.01M
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.030Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5
- +$3.6kat 0.043Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?
- +$2.4kat 0.082Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$2.2kat 0.266Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
- +$1.7kat 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0459317767 | $132.92 |
| 11-02 13:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.048392672 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 13:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0479757184 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 13:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0464138218 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 13:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0451791954 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 13:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0473210492 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 13:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0476162712 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 13:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.042854734 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 13:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0423071499 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 12:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0162451016 | $67.13 |
| 11-02 12:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0254409571 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 12:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 2? | BUY | 0.026948022 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 12:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0316747507 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 12:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0263826139 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 12:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0205298704 | $100.00 |