PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4d42dA95163C21fF38Bf534110219364e9A488fB-1759234286987

0x27234d41eea8e8be1ce32facfc9adf389f318d2d

Realised P&L
$-83.5k
Volume
$3.01M
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in November? · Yes0.0500.053$1.2k+$85.98
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2? · Yes0.0400.013$436.92−$895.85
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 2? · Yes0.0460.025$264.25−$235.72
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 2? · Yes0.0230.007$121.06−$278.91
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on November 2? · Yes0.0180.004$79.90−$287.21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2? · Yes0.0300.002$70.34−$1.3k
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on November 2? · Yes0.0190.004$37.34−$162.64
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 2? · Yes0.0380.002$21.10−$378.88
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 2? · Yes0.0180.001$5.49−$194.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$955.76
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 12? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.7k
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 on September 28? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$43.78
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.3860.000$0.00−$297.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 13:41Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0459317767$132.92
11-02 13:41Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.048392672$100.00
11-02 13:41Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0479757184$100.00
11-02 13:41Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0464138218$100.00
11-02 13:40Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0451791954$100.00
11-02 13:40Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0473210492$100.00
11-02 13:40Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0476162712$100.00
11-02 13:39Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.042854734$100.00
11-02 13:39Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0423071499$100.00
11-02 12:15Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on November 2?BUY0.0162451016$67.13
11-02 12:14Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on November 2?BUY0.0254409571$100.00
11-02 12:13Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 2?BUY0.026948022$100.00
11-02 12:12Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?BUY0.0316747507$100.00
11-02 12:12Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 2?BUY0.0263826139$100.00
11-02 12:11Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on November 2?BUY0.0205298704$100.00