0x4d42dA95163C21fF38Bf534110219364e9A488fB-1759234286987
0x27234d41eea8e8be1ce32facfc9adf389f318d2d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.3k
- Volume
- $703.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $63.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.029Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5
- +$2.4kat 0.080Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$2.2kat 0.260Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
- +$1.7kat 0.180Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.6kat 0.160United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $14.07 |
| 08-01 20:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 20:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 20:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 20:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0149999985 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 20:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0149999985 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 20:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0142080706 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 11:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.024757664 | $94.52 |
| 08-01 11:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0217843349 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 06:51 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0143948565 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 05:44 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0278130511 | $205.01 |
| 07-28 08:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0296130961 | $136.58 |
| 07-27 02:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.009 | $20.93 |
| 07-26 11:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0212553444 | $73.49 |
| 07-24 20:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0312320421 | $221.35 |