0x4d42dA95163C21fF38Bf534110219364e9A488fB-1759234286987
0x27234d41eea8e8be1ce32facfc9adf389f318d2d
- Realised P&L
- $-17.3k
- Volume
- $974.3k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $14.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.030Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5
- +$3.6kat 0.043Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?
- +$2.4kat 0.082Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$2.2kat 0.266Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
- +$1.7kat 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:43 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0321344756 | $105.11 |
| 09-16 21:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $43.12 |
| 09-16 21:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 18:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0308004769 | $83.55 |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 15? | BUY | 0.036937296 | $78.07 |
| 09-15 18:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0349999999 | $1.85 |
| 09-14 19:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 14? | BUY | 0.019802857 | $100.24 |
| 09-14 18:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 14? | BUY | 0.0238116841 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 18:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 14? | BUY | 0.0172544643 | $77.30 |
| 09-14 10:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 14? | BUY | 0.0266890335 | $19.74 |
| 09-14 10:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 14? | BUY | 0.0326569027 | $99.45 |
| 09-10 14:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0198088105 | $145.73 |
| 09-10 14:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0277367917 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 14:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0197610045 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 14:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.057 | $100.00 |