satman88
0x2714203fdcc0843fac3122edccea32c05bcd960f
- Realised P&L
- $21.5k
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Markets traded
- 3,528
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,528
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.733 | 0.705 | $634.51 | −$25.50 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves | 0.520 | 0.510 | $408.00 | −$8.00 |
| Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5) · SportsBetExpert | 0.490 | 0.350 | $357.00 | −$142.80 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.520 | 0.485 | $339.50 | −$24.50 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$376.00 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$464.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$246.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$560.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) · Seattle Storm | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.80 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.48 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.68 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$560.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.129Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.330Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
- +$1.5kat 0.500Spread: Browns (-1.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.255Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$1.4kat 0.305Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:47 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $495.00 |
| 07-29 01:01 | Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.64 |
| 07-28 20:23 | Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $495.00 |
| 07-23 16:57 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B | BUY | 0.6 | $542.80 |
| 07-22 22:55 | Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $495.04 |
| 07-21 01:29 | Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $742.35 |
| 07-20 23:01 | Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5095500436 | $181.19 |
| 07-20 19:30 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $764.26 |
| 07-20 16:18 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $395.86 |
| 07-20 14:54 | New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.38 | $749.74 |
| 07-20 14:52 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $765.38 |
| 07-20 12:53 | Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.76 | $760.00 |
| 07-16 15:54 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.72 | $223.20 |
| 07-16 06:30 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.73 | $438.00 |
| 07-16 03:11 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.73 | $438.00 |