lcako
0x270217b543753c2fa34adcce639d74393258735b
- Realised P&L
- $-872.29
- Volume
- $68.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,865
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,865
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.58at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$66.48at 0.095Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$55.06at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$50.65at 0.434Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$42.81at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.08 |
| 09-25 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 09-25 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-25 00:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.13 |
| 09-25 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.58 |
| 09-24 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.92 |
| 09-24 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.06 |
| 09-24 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-24 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 09-24 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.46 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.64 |