lucilledianne21
0x26ff2995ed3756b4e5f2b6fc07d6a0e954ba3182
- Realised P&L
- $-270.33
- Volume
- $88.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $9.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.024 | $9.49 | −$20.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.41at 0.113Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
- +$31.06at 0.735Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$12.05at 0.612Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$9.08at 0.040Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$5.72at 0.857Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 19:17 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $29.90 |
| 05-13 11:47 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.078 | $11.08 |
| 05-13 10:20 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.075 | $10.80 |
| 05-13 06:51 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $10.80 |
| 05-12 17:04 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.927 | $26.88 |
| 04-24 23:50 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.563 | $221.82 |
| 04-24 22:31 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.57 | $224.58 |
| 04-24 00:10 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.643 | $225.05 |
| 04-23 20:20 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.628 | $219.80 |
| 04-23 03:54 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.713 | $108.38 |
| 04-22 21:24 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.888 | $88.80 |
| 04-21 10:40 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.735 | $149.20 |
| 04-14 05:37 | Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series? | BUY | 0.857 | $34.28 |
| 04-12 09:16 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | SELL | 0.076 | $19.61 |
| 04-12 04:47 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | BUY | 0.076 | $19.61 |