VivaAnon
0x26fea6c4c58dcc249b8d891b89a282de91e041de
- Realised P&L
- $143.28
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $41.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.723 | 0.695 | $9.47 | −$0.38 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.813 | $8.13 | +$3.13 |
| Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No | 0.550 | 0.615 | $5.45 | +$0.58 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.305 | $5.37 | +$0.62 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.572 | 0.435 | $3.46 | −$1.09 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.645 | $3.23 | +$0.72 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.565 | $2.86 | +$0.33 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.188 | $1.88 | −$3.13 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.355 | $1.77 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.16at 0.183Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
- +$39.86at 0.514Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
- +$28.87at 0.440Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.05at 0.770Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- +$16.96at 0.108Casper Ruud vs. Roman Safiullin: Total Sets O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:44 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.03 |
| 09-15 19:29 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 18:26 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.09 |
| 09-15 16:53 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 06:54 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 04:14 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.03 |
| 09-14 18:49 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 18:14 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 18:07 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.66 |
| 09-14 18:05 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.55 |
| 09-14 17:30 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 11:53 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 06:50 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 04:12 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 02:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.02 |