0x26fc972fbbe517fc012e7600cae23f006efb3f19
0x26fc972fbbe517fc012e7600cae23f006efb3f19
- Realised P&L
- $-46.05
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $37.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? · No | 0.618 | 0.515 | $34.54 | −$6.92 |
| Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.880 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Twice release a song in 2026? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.387 | $0.66 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.29at 0.270Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.98at 0.590Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$7.48at 0.748Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.83at 0.755Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$1.96at 0.715Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 04:41 | Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? | BUY | 0.815576074 | $5.62 |
| 10-08 04:41 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.965 | $5.74 |
| 09-21 02:27 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.987 | $31.41 |
| 09-19 14:51 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $12.21 |
| 09-19 14:50 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4299999954 | $21.69 |
| 09-19 00:53 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4399999343 | $2.68 |
| 09-19 00:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.81 |
| 09-19 00:52 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:10 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4399999101 | $1.37 |
| 09-18 12:10 | Will Twice release a song in 2026? | SELL | 0.245 | $0.53 |
| 09-18 12:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.90 |
| 09-18 05:01 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999803 | $9.01 |
| 09-18 05:01 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.927 | $9.12 |
| 09-17 00:50 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4599999966 | $5.36 |
| 09-17 00:50 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4599999855 | $5.72 |