PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pogodynek

0x26f89d1e9ead687db7387d5274db85191d353770

Realised P&L
$-62.24
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
407
Open portfolio
$108.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded407
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? · Yes0.3110.445$20.53+$6.19
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 27? · Yes0.4040.300$15.78−$5.46
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 28? · Yes0.4690.445$11.45−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? · Yes0.4020.390$7.79−$0.25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 27? · Yes0.5360.175$7.15−$14.76
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27? · Yes0.3610.340$7.10−$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 27? · Yes0.5490.475$6.97−$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 27? · Yes0.5400.620$5.31+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 27? · Yes0.3550.240$5.24−$2.51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 28? · Yes0.5020.500$3.46−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27? · Yes0.4720.490$3.17+$0.11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.7610.785$3.15+$0.09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28? · Yes0.5650.570$2.06+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 28? · Yes0.5200.505$1.98−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.5050.490$1.98−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:16Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28?BUY0.3499999602$2.64
09-26 21:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.5$1.02
09-26 21:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 28?BUY0.2$1.11
09-26 21:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.9099999375$1.02
09-26 19:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.4$1.34
09-26 18:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 28?BUY0.51$1.02
09-26 18:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 28?BUY0.51$1.02
09-26 18:10Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27?BUY0.5$1.02
09-26 18:10Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.4699998264$1.11
09-26 18:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28?BUY0.3399999871$1.58
09-26 17:16Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28?BUY0.3259205827$3.02
09-26 17:13Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28?BUY0.31$3.10
09-26 17:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.5699998994$1.02
09-26 17:10Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 28?BUY0.4599999866$2.06
09-26 17:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.51$1.02