pogodynek
0x26f89d1e9ead687db7387d5274db85191d353770
- Realised P&L
- $-62.24
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 407
- Open portfolio
- $108.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded407
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.67at 0.316Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?
- +$22.08at 0.503Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?
- +$21.19at 0.509Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 14?
- +$20.67at 0.546Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 11?
- +$19.54at 0.479Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3499999602 | $2.64 |
| 09-26 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.11 |
| 09-26 21:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9099999375 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.34 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4699998264 | $1.11 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3399999871 | $1.58 |
| 09-26 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3259205827 | $3.02 |
| 09-26 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-26 17:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5699998994 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4599999866 | $2.06 |
| 09-26 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |