harley123
0x26f82ab194c1659b7994d5f90f436176ecf7459c
- Realised P&L
- $926.80
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 521
- Open portfolio
- $77.53
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded521
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.655 | $28.16 | +$22.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.125 | $21.18 | +$2.75 |
| Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.050 | $11.00 | −$14.51 |
| Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.235 | $9.40 | −$1.60 |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.043 | $5.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.015 | $1.45 | +$1.05 |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.008 | $0.80 | −$0.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$13.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.46at 0.187Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 31?
- +$124.08at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?
- +$98.46at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?
- +$95.75at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?
- +$87.45at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.11 | $17.87 |
| 10-09 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.4511666119 | $54.92 |
| 10-09 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.472 | $11.80 |
| 10-09 21:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.54 |
| 10-09 21:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.19 | $15.34 |
| 10-09 15:36 | Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.02 |
| 10-09 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.001112 | $0.09 |
| 10-09 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 10-09 03:07 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m? | BUY | 0.0390701309 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.0523110185 | $6.77 |
| 10-09 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.3095420647 | $50.22 |
| 10-09 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1544259938 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.329375 | $26.35 |
| 10-07 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $16.00 |
| 10-07 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.38 | $15.20 |