Elsa-kenniwan
0x26f742bc09a9b9146cf963c95cbfcd06819e19f6
- Realised P&L
- $-186.67
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $307.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.320 | $145.45 | +$45.45 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.057 | 0.076 | $134.32 | +$34.32 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.327 | 0.145 | $28.09 | −$35.28 |
| Germany vs. Netherlands: O/U 169.5 · Under | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.81 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.93at 0.595Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
- +$98.31at 0.510Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
- +$73.29at 0.582Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 15:35 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 15:34 | Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0569544364 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 15:32 | Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3270918288 | $63.37 |
| 09-05 12:45 | Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $250.00 |
| 09-05 12:42 | Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $250.00 |
| 09-05 12:41 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $250.00 |
| 09-04 13:18 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 13:18 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4979677934 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 11:25 | Germany vs. Netherlands: O/U 169.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $8.81 |