0x26ebc4997f114e6d1f16e611cd4af950fb2b5177
0x26ebc4997f114e6d1f16e611cd4af950fb2b5177
- Realised P&L
- $-111.87
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $19.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.051 | $10.10 | −$9.90 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.037 | $5.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Arsenal finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No | 0.170 | 0.135 | $3.97 | −$1.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.68at 0.365France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$-3.19at 0.255Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$-5.00at 0.074Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$-10.00at 0.090Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$-10.00at 0.141Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:24 | Will Arsenal finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 08:47 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 13:21 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 06:16 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 15:12 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2149999934 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 05:39 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 11:11 | Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 04-17 15:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.070999987 | $4.63 |
| 03-27 15:28 | Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.1412296286 | $10.00 |
| 03-27 15:28 | Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.0234008356 | $50.00 |
| 03-19 12:38 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 07:46 | Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |