0x26e6db419e4da505baafb7b641146ed970ec8816
0x26e6db419e4da505baafb7b641146ed970ec8816
- Realised P&L
- $-10.91
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain | 0.320 | 0.315 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.87at 0.261Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$7.59at 0.291Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
- +$7.47at 0.575Will England win on 2026-10-03?
- +$6.57at 0.126Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)
- +$6.21at 0.655Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 10:24 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5199999764 | $9.70 |
| 10-06 06:58 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 04:22 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7 | $8.40 |
| 10-04 16:37 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Norway? | BUY | 0.0729999988 | $2.70 |
| 10-04 16:28 | Will Wales vs. Denmark end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 16:15 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 16:12 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 17:35 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:20 | Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:17 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.81 |
| 10-03 04:15 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.559999991 | $9.99 |
| 10-01 22:20 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.64 | $11.52 |
| 10-01 22:17 | Will France vs. Italy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 20:52 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 10-01 17:18 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4599999777 | $2.89 |