Btckaushal
0x26e12c186ac768fcfa99317195ae72929090f757
- Realised P&L
- $-20.19
- Volume
- $971.45
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.007 | $1.89 | −$8.11 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev · Jesper de Jong | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans · Gujarat Titans | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.93at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.07at 0.014US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$-1.03at 0.109Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.03at 0.081Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-5.00at 0.013Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 16:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 16:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999082 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 16:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679998871 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 14:54 | Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 14:44 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 14:36 | Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 14:36 | Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 14:31 | Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 14:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.93 |
| 05-31 14:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0139999861 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 05:45 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 06:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0390000004 | $4.96 |
| 03-12 19:52 | Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0131791638 | $5.00 |