0x26Df18F513EfD2cEB7dE1C838CD1B8E4e519dB8F-1773232209515
0x26df18f513efd2ceb7de1c838cd1b8e4e519db8f
- Realised P&L
- $-90.20
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $28.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.105 | $15.25 | −$2.82 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.050 | $13.44 | −$44.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$163.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.01at 0.634Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$22.75at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:19 | Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.2172296401 | $58.37 |
| 07-28 14:05 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.125 | $18.07 |
| 03-18 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999984 | $96.98 |
| 03-18 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $27.03 |
| 03-18 16:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4414756583 | $22.60 |
| 03-18 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $95.42 |
| 03-18 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.894601897 | $94.64 |
| 03-18 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $95.32 |
| 03-18 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5561053496 | $59.31 |
| 03-18 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $61.69 |
| 03-18 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $46.37 |