0x26DDE7C4A014c980a8C084B070c858F677d2C38E-1775238766370
0x26dde7c4a014c980a8c084b070c858f677d2c38e
- Realised P&L
- $5.13
- Volume
- $414.66
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $54.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.420 | 1.000 | $23.81 | +$13.81 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.660 | 0.705 | $10.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.735 | $10.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.325 | $9.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.03at 0.660Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$9.67at 0.757Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 10:14 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 10:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 08:24 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 08:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 19:40 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1989999853 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 19:39 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7519999816 | $30.00 |
| 10-26 19:39 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1989999972 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 19:39 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0559999999 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 13:45 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.659999994 | $35.00 |