PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x26dDA4687B33F9150b7258B9322Ddd9BB3AecDBA-1770535612780

0x26dda4687b33f9150b7258b9322ddd9bb3aecdba

Realised P&L
$-77.70
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
903
Open portfolio
$1.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded903
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:08Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?BUY0.2010748468$5.63
10-20 10:08Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?BUY0.4285085563$4.36
10-18 10:08Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.4244795488$10.00
10-16 10:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 16?BUY0.5101886638$10.40
10-15 10:11Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.4455445434$10.00
10-15 04:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.3285737563$10.00
10-13 04:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 13?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-12 10:11Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.4033511954$10.50
10-11 10:11Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 11?BUY0.267476633$5.30
10-11 10:11Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?BUY0.2200171304$4.69
10-11 04:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?BUY0.5$10.00
10-10 16:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10?BUY0.3837077682$10.00
10-10 10:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?BUY0.21$3.99
10-10 10:11Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10?BUY0.3899999382$2.02
10-10 10:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 10?BUY0.0346550569$3.98