0x26dDA4687B33F9150b7258B9322Ddd9BB3AecDBA-1770535612780
0x26dda4687b33f9150b7258b9322ddd9bb3aecdba
- Realised P&L
- $-77.70
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 903
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded903
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.56at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
- +$17.22at 0.024Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.02at 0.359Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?
- +$15.75at 0.396Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10?
- +$15.14at 0.065Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2010748468 | $5.63 |
| 10-20 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.4285085563 | $4.36 |
| 10-18 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.4244795488 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.5101886638 | $10.40 |
| 10-15 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4455445434 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.3285737563 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4033511954 | $10.50 |
| 10-11 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.267476633 | $5.30 |
| 10-11 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.2200171304 | $4.69 |
| 10-11 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3837077682 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.99 |
| 10-10 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3899999382 | $2.02 |
| 10-10 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0346550569 | $3.98 |