0x26da2
0x26da2a0b1a4e55bb9290405e41294047ef0dfb76
- Realised P&L
- $-5.56
- Volume
- $477.72
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $8.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.845 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.665 | $3.85 | −$0.14 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A · G2 | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.438 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.25at 0.730Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$1.63at 0.651Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?
- +$1.36at 0.691Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?
- +$1.11at 0.779Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?
- +$0.87at 0.701Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:17 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 07:16 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 18:51 | Suns vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.75 | $2.20 |
| 10-26 18:51 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 12:41 | Will Riga FC win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 12:40 | Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 12:40 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 12:40 | Will Mohun Bagan Super Giant win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 18:59 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.8299999926 | $3.35 |
| 10-25 18:57 | Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 18:55 | Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 07:44 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-24 07:43 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 07:42 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 11:08 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999952 | $6.00 |