PT-S2
0x26d61145a64b1b5036c82a147dfeb7d56fa0cacc
- Realised P&L
- $-174.7k
- Volume
- $51.59M
- Markets traded
- 9,663
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,663
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-05? · No | 0.887 | 1.000 | $555.75 | +$62.28 |
| Will Once Caldas vs. América de Cali end in a draw? · No | 0.621 | 1.000 | $518.89 | +$196.54 |
| Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.452 | 1.000 | $140.01 | +$76.66 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli · Flavio Cobolli | 0.557 | 0.500 | $72.52 | −$8.25 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.494 | 1.000 | $48.79 | +$24.68 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · LG Twins | 0.586 | 0.780 | $34.41 | +$8.56 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.570 | 0.440 | $22.91 | −$6.78 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · Hanwha Eagles | 0.482 | 0.220 | $9.80 | −$11.73 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.560 | 0.560 | $8.40 | +$0.00 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.490 | 0.560 | $8.40 | +$1.05 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz · NC Dinos | 0.560 | 0.545 | $8.18 | −$0.22 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.487 | 0.455 | $6.83 | −$0.49 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.407 | 0.440 | $6.60 | +$0.49 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.530 | 0.560 | $2.80 | +$0.15 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.480 | 0.440 | $2.20 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.7kat 0.441Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$12.6kat 0.643Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$9.7kat 0.757Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$9.0kat 0.747Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$8.9kat 0.489Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 04:01 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | SELL | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 08-06 04:01 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | SELL | 0.962 | $4.81 |
| 08-06 03:32 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 08-06 03:31 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 08-06 03:29 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-06 03:28 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-06 03:27 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-06 03:23 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 03:22 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 03:11 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.85 |
| 08-06 03:10 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-06 03:10 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-06 03:09 | Will Once Caldas vs. América de Cali end in a draw? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 08-06 03:09 | Will Once Caldas vs. América de Cali end in a draw? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-06 03:09 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |