alexbitok
0x26d4df8b5ad61de60082e90209a0901f944d0a37
- Realised P&L
- $218.96
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,696
- Open portfolio
- $111.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,696
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.29at 0.375Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 11?
- +$18.31at 0.604Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 16?
- +$15.75at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?
- +$15.65at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 23?
- +$15.08at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.04 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 10-08 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-08 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-08 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 10-08 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-08 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 10-08 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-08 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.7870636364 | $17.32 |
| 10-08 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-08 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 10-07 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-07 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |