PolyBot

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Traders

Moonstart13

0x26d12919182ad4fbd5210d6d7606ae3cb0e0565f

Realised P&L
$93.04
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election? · Yes0.5440.880$88.02+$33.62
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6600.875$87.50+$21.50
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? · Yes0.8100.845$84.50+$3.50
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · Yes0.8300.755$75.50−$7.50
Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? · Yes0.6210.680$68.00+$5.85
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.4800.685$66.44+$19.89
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? · Yes0.4300.655$65.50+$22.50
Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5660.575$57.51+$0.92
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? · Yes0.6060.545$54.50−$6.14
Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? · Yes0.3070.540$53.98+$23.26
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3900.425$42.50+$3.50
Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.3900.405$40.50+$1.50
Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? · Yes0.2240.315$31.50+$9.06
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.5890.310$31.05−$27.85
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · Yes0.1000.235$23.50+$13.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:31Will Angela Offord win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.003$0.09
09-24 23:30Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.002$0.21
09-24 23:29Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.0325714286$2.28
09-24 23:29Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.41$21.85
09-24 23:28Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.021$0.63
09-24 23:28Will Adam Barnett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.1380594036$11.62
09-24 23:28Will Wendy Mitchell win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.1181629$11.82
09-24 23:28Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.19$8.87
09-19 23:59Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?BUY0.261306$26.13
09-19 23:59Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?BUY0.2694$26.94
09-18 19:11Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?BUY0.62$57.44
09-18 19:11Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?BUY0.224352$22.44
09-16 22:49Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.39$39.00
09-16 22:49Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.52$18.20
09-16 20:38Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?BUY0.606393$60.64