Moonstart13
0x26d12919182ad4fbd5210d6d7606ae3cb0e0565f
- Realised P&L
- $93.04
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.86at 0.351Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
- +$71.42at 0.286Will Ogden Driskill be the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican nominee?
- +$55.97at 0.440Will Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?
- +$0.21at 0.440Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
- +$-0.05at 0.500Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:31 | Will Angela Offord win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 09-24 23:30 | Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 09-24 23:29 | Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0325714286 | $2.28 |
| 09-24 23:29 | Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.41 | $21.85 |
| 09-24 23:28 | Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.63 |
| 09-24 23:28 | Will Adam Barnett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1380594036 | $11.62 |
| 09-24 23:28 | Will Wendy Mitchell win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1181629 | $11.82 |
| 09-24 23:28 | Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.19 | $8.87 |
| 09-19 23:59 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.261306 | $26.13 |
| 09-19 23:59 | Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.2694 | $26.94 |
| 09-18 19:11 | Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? | BUY | 0.62 | $57.44 |
| 09-18 19:11 | Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? | BUY | 0.224352 | $22.44 |
| 09-16 22:49 | Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 09-16 22:49 | Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.52 | $18.20 |
| 09-16 20:38 | Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? | BUY | 0.606393 | $60.64 |