PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x26d0c3a4e6bca2b8edf91fa85680a0fbc53041ab

Realised P&L
$-21.44
Volume
$567.00
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$60.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9470.964$17.35+$0.31
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.845$8.45+$0.15
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9680.966$6.76$0.02
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.940$5.64+$0.30
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9260.955$4.77+$0.14
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9680.937$4.68$0.15
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3100.340$4.08+$0.36
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.215$2.15$2.75
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0500.041$2.05$0.45
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3660.385$1.93+$0.09
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2400.195$1.17$0.27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.2100.148$0.89$0.37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.5600.159$0.48$1.20
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No0.5000.000$0.00$14.00
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 04:45Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.366$1.83
06-16 01:34Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.949$9.49
06-13 22:36Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.944$7.55
06-12 23:30Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$8.30
06-08 03:41Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.926$4.63
06-05 15:03Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.968$6.78
06-02 10:36Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$5.34
05-22 21:20Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.24$2.64
05-22 21:20Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.971$4.85
05-22 21:20Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.21$1.05
05-20 20:21Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.05$2.50
04-27 13:39Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8$7.20
04-27 13:39Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$1.20
04-23 07:34Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.816$5.71
04-23 07:34Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.071$1.42