0x26d0c3a4e6bca2b8edf91fa85680a0fbc53041ab
- Realised P&L
- $-21.44
- Volume
- $567.00
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $60.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.77at 0.500Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$1.96at 0.500US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$1.12at 0.790Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- +$0.84at 0.200Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.30at 0.440Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 04:45 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.366 | $1.83 |
| 06-16 01:34 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.949 | $9.49 |
| 06-13 22:36 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.944 | $7.55 |
| 06-12 23:30 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 06-08 03:41 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.926 | $4.63 |
| 06-05 15:03 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.968 | $6.78 |
| 06-02 10:36 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.34 |
| 05-22 21:20 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.64 |
| 05-22 21:20 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 05-22 21:20 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 05-20 20:21 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 04-27 13:39 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.20 |
| 04-27 13:39 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 04-23 07:34 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.816 | $5.71 |
| 04-23 07:34 | Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | BUY | 0.071 | $1.42 |