0x26Bd38cC22a60d1c3E2131c6B4A8284cE2a42C54-1774494542978
0x26bd38cc22a60d1c3e2131c6b4a8284ce2a42c54
- Realised P&L
- $240.76
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $3.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.31at 0.495Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?
- +$54.95at 0.309Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?
- +$49.01at 0.258Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 1?
- +$21.73at 0.831Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 4?
- +$20.82at 0.855Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:43 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.207 | $2.07 |
| 07-31 01:47 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 07-07 18:02 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 07-07 16:27 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.23 |
| 07-07 16:16 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 18:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 11:40 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 06-20 10:02 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 06-19 18:12 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 06-14 09:50 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 06-12 08:28 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 06-12 03:54 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.97 | $9.69 |
| 06-12 03:52 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 05-15 17:57 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 05-15 14:43 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.31 |