neviaa
0x26bc39c2984d2038bc7616c3d6f7b1e9c5c06b72
- Realised P&L
- $-394.87
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $484.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.24at 0.233U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$86.19at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$84.05at 0.370Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?
- +$73.25at 0.120Will Zeus Win MSI Finals MVP
- +$70.37at 0.230LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:18 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1834472519 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 09:17 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1661129568 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 08:25 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 07:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.325 | $9.76 |
| 08-04 07:08 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:39 | Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 40 and 50 minutes long? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:38 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:38 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:46 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0969999917 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:46 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0990197049 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:05 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1065180551 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? | BUY | 0.2808014108 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3329999781 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 06:29 | Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |