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Traders

0x26bBA8cAFbE48a8D164E04E058AA6a31F9dC8337-1771795036043

0x26bba8cafbe48a8d164e04e058aa6a31f9dc8337

Realised P&L
$-194.59
Volume
$34.3k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$210.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1390.065$93.30$106.70
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1080.070$65.04$34.96
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0740.025$51.69$98.31
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? · No0.2430.000$0.00$200.00
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$20.00
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 12:06Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.005$10.00
06-15 05:53Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.007$10.00
06-15 05:52Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.109999999$100.00
06-02 05:35Ebola case in the US by June 30?BUY0.243771397$100.00
05-22 06:18Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?BUY0.2428938962$200.00
05-22 06:05Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1083988203$100.00
05-20 18:06Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.1$50.00
05-20 18:01Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.7362390453$601.51
05-12 18:12Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999967$50.00
05-11 18:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
05-11 07:19Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.074$150.00
04-16 02:41Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2184572534$100.00
04-16 02:41Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.986$103.08
04-14 14:21Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1948503827$70.00
04-07 15:42Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6599999978$300.00
Trader 0x26bBA8cAFbE48a8D164E04E058AA6a31F9dC8337-1771795036043 · PolyBot Pro