PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x26b166604677eaef5f2e81b716f539ed2857cc81

Realised P&L
$13.3k
Volume
$1.31M
Markets traded
561
Open portfolio
$49.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded561
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 22? · Yes0.2600.210$37.14$8.84
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? · No0.0030.013$12.15+$9.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:33Will Grüne win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.998$256.76
09-21 14:33Will Grüne win 40-44 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.998$393.75
09-21 13:24Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.64$7.26
09-21 13:23Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?SELL0.77$193.71
09-21 13:21Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.999$5.0k
09-21 13:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.015$1.70
09-21 12:44Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.001$0.46
09-21 12:36Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.0947035158$5.41
09-21 12:35Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.0088940433$4.08
09-21 12:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.0838580247$4.89
09-21 11:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 22?BUY0.26$45.98
09-21 11:01Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C or below on September 20?BUY0.999$14.98
09-21 11:01Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on September 20?BUY0.999$14.98
09-21 11:01Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.98$16.66
09-21 11:01Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on September 20?BUY0.999$14.98