PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

valera

0x26a9ece876496574ca5a98dd694f6f6eb191c317

Realised P&L
$-881.69
Volume
$31.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$785.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6610.585$517.53$67.05
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.535$267.50$32.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$0.15
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.62
Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 10:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.99$297.00
07-31 10:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.99$297.00
07-14 19:32France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.39$195.00
07-10 20:01Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSELL0.7325$115.73
06-17 19:34Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.001$0.62
06-17 19:34Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.001$0.62