0x26a71a3c20c64e4d9890c8ef5b66b03fd112321e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.33
- Volume
- $216.41
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SC Recife win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.36 |
| Will CR Brasil win on 2026-09-15? · No | 0.190 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| BNB Up or Down - September 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$0.41at 0.467W35 Kyoto: Hikaru Sato vs Natsuki Yoshimoto
- +$0.39at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$0.27at 0.633Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$0.25at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $1.46 |
| 09-16 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:03 | Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.98 |
| 09-16 01:58 | Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:58 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.98 |
| 09-16 01:58 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:57 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.92 |
| 09-16 01:57 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.54 |
| 09-16 01:55 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:55 | W35 Kyoto: Remika Ohashi vs Kamonwan Yodpetch | SELL | 0.59 | $1.13 |
| 09-16 01:52 | W35 Kyoto: Remika Ohashi vs Kamonwan Yodpetch | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:52 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.27 |
| 09-16 01:52 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:50 | São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.09 | $0.20 |
| 09-16 01:49 | São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |