ArmpitGoddessTaylorSwift
0x269de75ec51f871830b6d61984abefcc8cea13cd
- Realised P&L
- $705.02
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$598.92at 0.310Will Kai or Speed die to an enderman?
- +$352.62at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$306.17at 0.206Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$109.73at 0.639Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$101.89at 0.502Will Kai or Speed die to a blaze?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:03 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 250k? | BUY | 0.39 | $70.93 |
| 09-28 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 07:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6831047397 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 07:33 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 350k? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.85 |
| 09-28 07:19 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-28 06:58 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 06:45 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k? | BUY | 0.72 | $64.80 |
| 09-28 06:45 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-28 06:45 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k? | BUY | 0.72 | $4.40 |
| 09-28 06:34 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k? | BUY | 0.599735 | $11.99 |
| 09-28 06:34 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 250k? | BUY | 0.58 | $60.32 |
| 09-28 06:34 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k? | BUY | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 09-28 06:05 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 09-28 06:03 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 09-28 05:50 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 45m first week streams? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |