hgkt4
0x269d9e8301363a5fe3e41c4a2ac0025b73d90044
- Realised P&L
- $0.97
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $33.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11? · No | 0.980 | 0.984 | $33.44 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.21at 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.74at 0.944Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 28?
- +$1.29at 0.958Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.71at 0.979Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
- +$0.65at 0.982Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 04:56 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.98 | $33.32 |
| 10-08 13:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.984 | $26.11 |
| 10-06 02:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.978 | $32.27 |
| 10-04 15:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $32.55 |
| 10-02 09:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.986 | $31.55 |
| 09-27 01:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.985 | $37.43 |
| 09-23 14:33 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $36.30 |
| 09-18 13:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.981 | $35.32 |
| 09-15 14:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $18.13 |
| 09-01 08:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.985 | $33.48 |
| 08-31 04:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.977 | $32.24 |
| 08-31 03:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on August 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $31.65 |
| 08-31 00:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.997 | $31.90 |
| 08-30 15:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.994 | $31.81 |
| 08-28 15:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 28? | BUY | 0.94 | $29.14 |