Charlie83
0x269c33d252a9b2bd7cb840228ce3490f123dd7de
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $286.5k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $16.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.030 | $16.26 | −$36.49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.435Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$483.66at 0.919Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$188.89at 0.346Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
- +$150.29at 0.210Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?
- +$147.85at 0.400Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 20:52 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $23.88 |
| 06-11 18:42 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0239999991 | $25.00 |
| 05-29 09:10 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4299999978 | $45.00 |
| 05-21 07:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | SELL | 0.0011243967 | $3.37 |
| 05-19 18:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 01:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.30 |
| 05-19 01:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.66 |
| 05-14 14:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.60 |
| 05-11 15:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 15:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.79 |
| 05-06 20:47 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.26 |
| 05-06 11:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.66 |
| 05-06 10:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.00 |
| 05-05 20:45 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.92 |
| 05-05 13:52 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | BUY | 0.1699999969 | $39.00 |