PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

moneyBalll

0x268d5cdc4b6b67add2f58b950bc500c799484820

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$481.8k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$7.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yes0.1100.023$5.08−$19.23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? · Yes0.0010.001$2.00−$2.00
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026? · No0.0070.000$0.00−$3.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.0340.000$0.00−$53.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? · No0.0250.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$13.00
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$11.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.0120.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026? · No0.1740.000$0.00−$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$25.00
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-09 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-09 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
10-09 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.9099992538$1.00
10-08 19:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-08 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
10-08 19:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
10-07 21:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.003$1.00
10-07 20:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?BUY0.0012857602$2.00
10-06 20:52Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
10-06 20:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?BUY0.002$2.00
09-30 22:55Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
09-30 22:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.0303690894$7.80
09-30 22:53Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0165910233$1.85
09-30 22:52Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?SELL0.0293858108$7.70