moneyBalll
0x268d5cdc4b6b67add2f58b950bc500c799484820
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $481.8k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $7.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$853.67at 0.015US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$110.44at 0.002US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$15.09at 0.048Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?
- +$10.23at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$5.88at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 21:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 20:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? | BUY | 0.0012857602 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 20:52 | Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 22:55 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.0303690894 | $7.80 |
| 09-30 22:53 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0165910233 | $1.85 |
| 09-30 22:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.0293858108 | $7.70 |