gtsby
0x268ad7449a4d49d821e6c64a920f6b7e900fd393
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $420.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.048 | $420.79 | −$1.3k |
| Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$434.77 |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.88 |
| Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.71at 0.167Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.40at 0.312Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
- +$-2.00at 0.100Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$-21.00at 0.340Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 18:48 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2279999986 | $98.56 |
| 07-14 22:18 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2279999995 | $336.21 |
| 07-10 15:37 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0619999997 | $189.88 |
| 07-07 21:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.187 | $109.50 |
| 07-07 21:23 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0469999996 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 12:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1669999987 | $97.79 |
| 04-17 11:02 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | SELL | 0.3134375 | $100.30 |
| 02-26 09:22 | Will another company be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 02-26 09:21 | Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0498026024 | $50.00 |
| 02-26 09:01 | Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0389221483 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 21:20 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2410090374 | $1.6k |
| 01-29 20:08 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | BUY | 0.312195122 | $100.00 |
| 12-19 17:07 | Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | BUY | 0.097 | $20.00 |
| 12-19 17:07 | Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | BUY | 0.0369999983 | $20.00 |
| 12-19 17:06 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.00 |