ChichiLaCaille
0x268959d2e62162de65f7d8d220cba9ca9d4a41eb
- Realised P&L
- $-0.48
- Volume
- $283.55
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.610 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $1.62 | −$0.32 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.086 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.006 | $0.55 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.073Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
- +$-0.06at 0.014Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:28 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | SELL | 0.077 | $1.05 |
| 08-29 20:42 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0890000084 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 20:42 | Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.0141117287 | $1.02 |
| 08-29 00:44 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 00:43 | Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0138959859 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 23:36 | Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 23:31 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1499999381 | $1.94 |
| 08-26 23:29 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0169999886 | $1.45 |