0x26887101ae49bc42160f2dcd972d808975d0c3d7
0x26887101ae49bc42160f2dcd972d808975d0c3d7
- Realised P&L
- $8.99
- Volume
- $150.76
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $6.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.835 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.685 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.425 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? · No | 0.740 | 0.745 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $198 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.280 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.415 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.420 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.54at 0.288WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:26 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $198 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:23 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:45 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:58 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:28 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:48 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:47 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:27 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:18 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 23:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |