PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wether7.6

0x268831b41d734b1f27c986b33a5496a9ec9b88c9

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$699.2k
Markets traded
1,576
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,576
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 21? · No0.9991.000$992.19+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 21? · No0.9980.998$992.01+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21? · No0.9990.997$989.51$2.19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21? · No0.9981.000$744.76+$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on September 21? · No0.9990.999$163.25$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 15? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$12.54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 18? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$12.60
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$5.12
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30? · No0.9950.000$0.00$1.5k
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$5.41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 20? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$7.42
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 16? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$7.43
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$12.53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 20? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$12.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:11Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 21?BUY0.998$992.01
09-21 09:11Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on September 21?BUY0.999$163.33
09-21 05:15Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?BUY0.998$124.25
09-21 04:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.999$454.74
09-21 04:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.998946084$265.52
09-21 04:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.9979999999$271.45
09-21 02:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.999$991.69
09-20 22:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?BUY0.998$333.42
09-20 21:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?BUY0.999$13.62
09-20 21:15Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?BUY0.999$272.64
09-20 21:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 20?BUY0.999$9.49
09-20 20:15Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 20?BUY0.999$32.26
09-20 20:15Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 20?BUY0.998999879$8.02
09-20 19:15Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 20?BUY0.9989999996$991.65
09-20 14:30Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on September 20?BUY0.999$743.48