Trade3
0x26846d846b6618d96cd5b58218ed2e0048d0224f
- Realised P&L
- $-512.54
- Volume
- $40.8k
- Markets traded
- 533
- Open portfolio
- $12.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded533
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.10at 0.510Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
- +$117.17at 0.460Devils vs. Kraken
- +$108.69at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$51.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$47.06at 0.442Will PayPal say "Cash Back" or "Cashback" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 13:42 | Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | BUY | 0.3184210445 | $16.50 |
| 02-17 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 02-17 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $9.98 |
| 02-17 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $9.98 |
| 02-17 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $9.97 |
| 02-17 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.1288155242 | $2.56 |
| 02-17 23:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $5.53 |
| 02-17 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.439004975 | $4.26 |
| 02-17 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.89 |
| 02-17 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.116 | $1.16 |
| 02-17 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 02-17 21:33 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $70.27 |
| 02-17 21:32 | Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.17 |
| 02-14 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 02-14 04:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |