PolyBot

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Traders

0x2682103ee2e0a8eaea72be98a17cd0f340ed0443

0x2682103ee2e0a8eaea72be98a17cd0f340ed0443

Realised P&L
$4.06
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$21.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2690.389$14.44+$4.44
Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 9? · Yes0.0070.050$2.50+$2.15
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1030.022$2.18−$7.82
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 9? · Yes0.1940.349$1.80+$0.80
Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 9? · No0.0310.009$0.55−$1.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.1060.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? · Down0.0410.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-08 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.25$1.00
10-08 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-08 18:14Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 9?BUY0.193999969$1.00
10-08 18:13Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 9?BUY0.007$0.35
10-08 18:04Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 9?BUY0.0309999995$2.00
10-08 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-08 17:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSELL0.99$6.95
10-08 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-08 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.4799999616$2.00
10-07 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.99$1.70
10-07 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-07 18:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-07 18:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSELL0.99$11.00
10-07 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.1799999856$2.00