0x2682103ee2e0a8eaea72be98a17cd0f340ed0443
0x2682103ee2e0a8eaea72be98a17cd0f340ed0443
- Realised P&L
- $4.06
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $21.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.61at 0.631Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$8.36at 0.198Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$5.42at 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$3.84at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$3.70at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:14 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 9? | BUY | 0.193999969 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:13 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 9? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 10-08 18:04 | Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 9? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.95 |
| 10-08 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.70 |
| 10-07 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.00 |
| 10-07 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |