0x26815ddd6c0ac4407de37cfb61dcb7081c5f6943
0x26815ddd6c0ac4407de37cfb61dcb7081c5f6943
- Realised P&L
- $203.66
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $209.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US imports Russian diesel by November 15? · Yes | 0.591 | 0.400 | $200.00 | −$95.50 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.865 | $8.65 | −$0.25 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.700 | 0.825 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.60 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.99at 0.520Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$45.99at 0.340Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$43.80at 0.704Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$26.00at 0.220Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$13.40at 0.411Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 03:49 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.14 |
| 06-25 11:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 06-16 13:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 06-16 07:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 07:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 07:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 10:13 | EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 03-30 09:00 | EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 03:20 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 02-22 03:20 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 02-22 03:10 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 02-22 03:10 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 02-22 02:19 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |