0x267dc993885af32c44daf0a93cb9c057f0ae454f
- Realised P&L
- $-22.79
- Volume
- $448.08
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $133.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.485 | 1.000 | $50.62 | +$26.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.500 | $30.00 | +$7.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.465 | $27.05 | +$7.85 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.676 | 0.950 | $21.83 | +$6.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.055 | $3.54 | −$31.87 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.517 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$14.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.22at 0.189Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Akira Santillan
- +$-15.54at 0.575Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.01 |
| 09-17 18:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6599999875 | $4.22 |
| 09-17 18:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6899999953 | $5.91 |
| 09-17 18:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.26 |
| 09-17 18:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6735760602 | $5.40 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.73 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.57 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6085343488 | $20.76 |
| 09-17 11:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5599999317 | $2.95 |
| 09-17 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.36 |
| 09-17 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.54 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.44 |
| 09-17 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3299999954 | $19.20 |
| 09-17 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.87 |