PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

T.Ray

0x26796a1cc008b76bd7a3308b935d681c2de36490

Realised P&L
$6.54
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$108.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes0.1410.127$95.32−$11.08
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.2600.115$13.27−$16.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.1070.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Down0.0660.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 08:09Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.2656406859$38.00
10-21 18:44Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.2599999986$30.00
10-19 23:01Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.1$3.19
10-19 23:01Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?SELL0.22$3.41
10-17 16:35Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.2299999871$3.57
10-17 16:34Viktor Orbán arrested by...?SELL0.1$3.43
10-14 08:06Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.1099999998$48.77
10-14 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-14 07:29Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
04-08 09:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.0299999712$0.86
04-08 09:32Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.1299999467$1.75
04-08 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.01$0.86
04-08 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.05$0.86
04-08 07:29Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSELL0.75$1.88
04-08 07:26Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.3799999012$0.91