T.Ray
0x26796a1cc008b76bd7a3308b935d681c2de36490
- Realised P&L
- $6.54
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $108.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.127 | $95.32 | −$11.08 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.115 | $13.27 | −$16.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Down | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.66at 0.039US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$4.76at 0.456Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$3.51at 0.461Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$2.77at 0.130Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.85at 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 08:09 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.2656406859 | $38.00 |
| 10-21 18:44 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.2599999986 | $30.00 |
| 10-19 23:01 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.19 |
| 10-19 23:01 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.41 |
| 10-17 16:35 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.2299999871 | $3.57 |
| 10-17 16:34 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.43 |
| 10-14 08:06 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $48.77 |
| 10-14 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:29 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $0.86 |
| 04-08 09:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $1.75 |
| 04-08 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-08 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.86 |
| 04-08 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $1.88 |
| 04-08 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.91 |