PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lavoyante

0x26748d7e1bb9b84e9fc9a1125daec7f074e36736

Realised P&L
$-163.64
Volume
$53.6k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8670.962$2.7k+$262.76
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.875$1.1k$18.52
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0200.013$287.97$168.70
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0150.006$159.34$208.35

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 16:02Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.021$26.21
08-08 15:55Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.021$42.02
08-08 15:54Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.86$352.60
08-07 10:33Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.015$367.71
08-07 10:32Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.86$387.00
08-07 07:59Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.019$126.34
08-07 07:55Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.86$129.00
02-20 21:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8499999998$1.6k
01-05 21:16Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.89$2.0k