lavoyante
0x26748d7e1bb9b84e9fc9a1125daec7f074e36736
- Realised P&L
- $-35.16
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.867 | 0.972 | $2.7k | +$290.53 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.890 | 0.865 | $1.1k | −$30.87 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.005 | $115.19 | −$341.48 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.002 | $36.77 | −$330.92 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:02 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $26.21 |
| 08-08 15:55 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $42.02 |
| 08-08 15:54 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $352.60 |
| 08-07 10:33 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $367.71 |
| 08-07 10:32 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $387.00 |
| 08-07 07:59 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $126.34 |
| 08-07 07:55 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $129.00 |
| 02-20 21:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $1.6k |
| 01-05 21:16 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.0k |