PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ricorodmerguezo

0x266f3e4f9b826f28f565a25794ce9f74809a9f85

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$409.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$545.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0540.086$318.26+$118.27
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.006$108.33+$8.33
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.006$58.87$29.43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.4310.195$45.14$54.86
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0760.011$14.45$85.55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$172.05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$100.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00$500.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$66.00
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$46.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 08:46US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?BUY0.0237991353$100.00
04-19 17:11Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.001$123.00
04-16 12:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSELL0.99$954.36
04-16 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.5$464.00
04-13 17:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.2482411633$500.00
04-12 17:29Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.1391881109$159.78
04-11 11:31Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0537288233$200.00
04-08 06:19Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.1742250578$200.00
04-08 06:09US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.996$2.0k
04-07 12:24Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$88.30
04-07 12:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.01$0.86
04-07 12:13Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.0109999892$0.86
04-07 12:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.5899999947$9.41
04-07 12:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.4899999814$9.27
04-07 12:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.01$8.57