PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Q96s3kwozynxpau

0x2663daca3cecf3767ca1c3b126002a8578a8ed1f

Realised P&L
$611.7k
Volume
$493.08M
Markets traded
535
Open portfolio
$8.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded535
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$1.0k$892.75
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$705.55$980.31
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.015$472.67+$209.96
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$358.26$761.22
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$331.57$789.00
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3020.002$316.08$63.4k
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.003$290.66$719.10
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3710.004$284.07$29.8k
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$283.69$349.51
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$264.27$1.1k
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3470.002$257.01$59.3k
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$245.62$103.25
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$202.47$851.88
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$200.80$846.86
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$190.91$405.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 08:54Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$12.38
09-11 18:40Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.146$4.38
09-10 21:39Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$20.62
09-09 01:10Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$161.52
09-06 15:08Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$18.98
09-05 23:31Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$229.99
09-05 14:09Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$48.64
09-05 14:09Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$229.99
09-05 14:07Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$125.49
09-04 08:34Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$75.06
09-04 08:34Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$51.55
09-04 08:34Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$142.16
09-02 23:19Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$82.84
09-02 01:10Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$99.07
09-02 01:04Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.002$28.51