Q96s3kwozynxpau
0x2663daca3cecf3767ca1c3b126002a8578a8ed1f
- Realised P&L
- $611.7k
- Volume
- $493.08M
- Markets traded
- 535
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded535
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.24Mat 0.500Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.13Mat 0.017Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$677.0kat 0.017Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$462.6kat 0.020Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$185.2kat 0.500Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:54 | Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $12.38 |
| 09-11 18:40 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.146 | $4.38 |
| 09-10 21:39 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $20.62 |
| 09-09 01:10 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $161.52 |
| 09-06 15:08 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $18.98 |
| 09-05 23:31 | Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $229.99 |
| 09-05 14:09 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $48.64 |
| 09-05 14:09 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $229.99 |
| 09-05 14:07 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $125.49 |
| 09-04 08:34 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $75.06 |
| 09-04 08:34 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $51.55 |
| 09-04 08:34 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $142.16 |
| 09-02 23:19 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $82.84 |
| 09-02 01:10 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $99.07 |
| 09-02 01:04 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $28.51 |