0x2662228cDC5E641D
0x2662228cdc5e641db1a64ff9a8bd1704ad4a40b7
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $481.9k
- Markets traded
- 621
- Open portfolio
- $666.15
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded621
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $219.45 | +$1.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.875 | 1.000 | $193.90 | +$24.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.918 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$8.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $81.88 | +$0.70 |
| Will a Western team win Worlds 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.977 | $70.97 | +$5.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.10at 0.761Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?
- +$264.37at 0.899Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?
- +$262.99at 0.821Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?
- +$238.94at 0.923Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?
- +$223.67at 0.668Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.918 | $91.80 |
| 11-01 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9856722054 | $378.46 |
| 11-01 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.95 |
| 11-01 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9964028835 | $24.88 |
| 10-31 17:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.935814992 | $559.54 |
| 10-31 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.874813 | $174.96 |
| 10-30 20:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.889 | $36.54 |
| 10-30 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $364.23 |
| 10-30 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.8187651151 | $318.92 |
| 10-30 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.547954 | $109.59 |
| 10-30 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $141.15 |
| 10-30 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.94 |
| 10-30 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.996531177 | $140.80 |
| 10-30 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.99 |
| 10-29 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $123.47 |