0x2661549c7ab8ab6966eefdc5ee25db72aae88625
- Realised P&L
- $-15.75
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $18.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.330 | 0.996 | $6.03 | +$4.03 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.115 | $5.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.115 | $4.60 | −$1.40 |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 · Over | 0.430 | 0.500 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.42at 0.011Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.95at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.22at 0.320Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$3.06at 0.404Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown
- +$2.46at 0.670Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:00 | Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 00:11 | Drake Maye: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:10 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 02:16 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 02:15 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 21:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.635 | $0.61 |
| 07-19 20:51 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 20:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.385 | $1.33 |
| 07-16 01:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.421 | $1.38 |
| 07-15 18:22 | Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 20:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.567 | $0.73 |
| 07-14 19:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.229 | $1.15 |
| 07-14 19:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.229 | $1.83 |
| 07-14 19:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.228 | $1.38 |