0x265a75702764484f685d2085d101e9b2ef252f25
0x265a75702764484f685d2085d101e9b2ef252f25
- Realised P&L
- $-5.00
- Volume
- $101.75
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $7.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? · No | 0.950 | 0.942 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? · Yes | 0.952 | 0.922 | $2.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 10? · No | 0.950 | 0.635 | $2.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 8? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on October 6? · No | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 8? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.45 on October 6? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.12at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?
- +$0.12at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?
- +$0.11at 0.906Solana Up or Down - October 3, 3AM ET
- +$0.05at 0.953XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2AM ET
- +$0.04at 0.963Will XRP dip to $1.45 on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:30 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 05:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.952 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 08:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 06:45 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:30 | XRP Up or Down - October 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9689997597 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:31 | XRP Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |