Solanaa
0x2658deb2e0d456bc95c2a773b8b96b52f946d25b
- Realised P&L
- $-52.95
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $35.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $35.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.25at 0.966Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$2.25at 0.960Fed rate cut by July 31?
- +$0.88at 0.996Xi Jinping out before October?
- +$0.62at 0.969US military action against Iran by Friday?
- +$0.60at 0.984Biden drops out by July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:42 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.96 |
| 08-27 07:04 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.93 |
| 07-17 14:23 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.92 |
| 06-25 03:07 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 06-17 06:33 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $76.77 |
| 05-10 03:16 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $64.66 |
| 04-12 05:35 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.28 |
| 03-11 14:20 | Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $39.72 |
| 03-07 23:20 | Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $51.90 |
| 02-18 11:41 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.10 |
| 02-06 01:51 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 01-16 02:02 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999937 | $55.07 |
| 12-10 06:37 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.9919999956 | $25.00 |
| 11-21 08:09 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.3043347009 | $24.67 |
| 10-28 12:39 | Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | BUY | 0.9966639202 | $27.58 |