Gurupolimarket
0x26519b477f1cd031919e18f33fd8d3fcb48c3471
- Realised P&L
- $-6.5k
- Volume
- $4.86M
- Markets traded
- 2,725
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,725
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.0kat 0.490Knicks vs. Celtics
- +$4.9kat 0.172Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 2?
- +$3.7kat 0.355Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on January 27?
- +$1.0kat 0.745S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?
- +$984.16at 0.225S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.43 | $72.16 |
| 09-21 22:06 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.5 | $20.77 |
| 09-21 01:07 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 21? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 09-20 21:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.42 | $13.61 |
| 09-20 21:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.32 |
| 09-20 21:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.18 |
| 09-20 21:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.18 |
| 09-20 21:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.18 |
| 09-20 21:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.18 |
| 09-20 21:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.18 |
| 09-18 16:24 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-18 16:24 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 09-18 16:24 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $264.74 |
| 09-18 16:22 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.9984030091 | $185.80 |
| 09-18 16:22 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $202.61 |