PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

66sdf

0x264f786a1d43ad30eeeab67c1cc224a5d50bcd38

Realised P&L
$-100.61
Volume
$42.1k
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$104.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · Yes0.6390.661$8.24+$0.28
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 95%+? · No0.9401.000$5.00+$0.30
Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.5%-3%? · No0.6001.000$5.00+$2.00
Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q2 adjusted revenue be above $12B? · Yes0.5631.000$4.92+$2.15
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? · No0.5201.000$3.94+$1.89
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30? · No0.8121.000$3.88+$0.73
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9210.755$3.78$0.83
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.4630.545$3.55+$0.53
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? · No0.6130.735$3.44+$0.57
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · No0.9690.993$3.22+$0.08
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.2880.390$3.17+$0.83
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 25? · No0.2701.000$3.10+$2.26
Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence? · Yes0.2301.000$2.99+$2.30
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.4641.000$2.94+$1.57
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140? · No0.7300.790$2.93+$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 02:11Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.02$0.13
07-31 01:20Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.67$3.79
07-30 23:18Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.8$5.46
07-30 00:35Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.39$2.54
07-28 06:47Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.002$0.02
07-28 06:40Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.003$0.00
07-28 06:36Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.003$0.02
07-27 21:44Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.06$0.18
07-27 21:41Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.06$0.38
07-27 21:38Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.06$0.38
07-23 14:02Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?SELL0.09$0.51
07-23 09:29Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.022$0.31
07-22 11:33Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.08$0.40
07-22 11:30Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.08$0.40
07-22 11:26Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?SELL0.08$0.40
Trader 66sdf · PolyBot