dnaghsa
0x264d771891838edb443cb2d39fc4aa1bb58a6f2b
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $441.1k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.688Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
- +$1.4kat 0.870Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- +$1.2kat 0.853Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
- +$733.36at 0.809Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
- +$662.81at 0.656Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:51 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2264032786 | $550.00 |
| 10-29 16:19 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1349999983 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 00:02 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | BUY | 0.6818525388 | $790.00 |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1150672672 | $792.37 |
| 10-25 22:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3589999999 | $330.00 |
| 10-25 22:33 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2437748904 | $331.99 |
| 10-24 22:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8309999996 | $109.00 |
| 10-24 22:01 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.7852976234 | $106.73 |
| 10-24 22:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.832800565 | $4.9k |
| 10-24 22:01 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.8215920026 | $3.0k |
| 10-24 22:01 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.8484131047 | $973.19 |
| 10-24 22:00 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | SELL | 0.8383314857 | $934.67 |
| 10-20 18:23 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4942898919 | $333.00 |
| 10-20 18:23 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.8698687328 | $332.59 |
| 10-20 18:04 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.379198163 | $393.60 |