PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dnaghsa

0x264d771891838edb443cb2d39fc4aa1bb58a6f2b

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$441.1k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? · Yes0.4220.300$889.31−$360.68
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3120.134$876.97−$1.2k
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%? · Yes0.1010.043$21.53−$28.47
Will the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? · Yes0.6550.000$0.00−$159.00
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? · No0.5870.000$0.00−$541.91
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$380.28
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · Yes0.2980.000$0.00−$250.00
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$13.00
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the US add at least 250k jobs in April? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$285.69
GTA VI released by October 31? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00−$100.00
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 16:51Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.2264032786$550.00
10-29 16:19Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.1349999983$4.00
10-26 00:02Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?BUY0.6818525388$790.00
10-25 23:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.1150672672$792.37
10-25 22:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3589999999$330.00
10-25 22:33Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?SELL0.2437748904$331.99
10-24 22:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8309999996$109.00
10-24 22:01Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?SELL0.7852976234$106.73
10-24 22:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.832800565$4.9k
10-24 22:01Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?SELL0.8215920026$3.0k
10-24 22:01Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?SELL0.8484131047$973.19
10-24 22:00Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?SELL0.8383314857$934.67
10-20 18:23Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.4942898919$333.00
10-20 18:23Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?SELL0.8698687328$332.59
10-20 18:04Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.379198163$393.60