dnaghsa
0x264d771891838edb443cb2d39fc4aa1bb58a6f2b
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $365.3k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.870Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- +$1.2kat 0.853Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
- +$733.36at 0.809Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
- +$662.81at 0.656Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
- +$613.72at 0.896Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:32 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.0k |
| 09-17 01:51 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.7723282571 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 01:51 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.6795446657 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 01:50 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | BUY | 0.1243170877 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 01:48 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0861214562 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 13:20 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0395287356 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 13:45 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9662622946 | $810.00 |
| 09-10 13:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $566.16 |
| 08-18 16:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999943 | $85.00 |
| 08-18 16:55 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.8811066896 | $800.00 |
| 08-18 16:54 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | BUY | 0.357660896 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 16:50 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.876278272 | $700.00 |
| 08-18 16:50 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.8706790096 | $500.00 |
| 08-18 16:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-18 16:25 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.8769557503 | $500.00 |